Met Office predicts exact dates icy temperatures will replace mild air

BBC Weather: Wet weather forecasted for most regions in the UK

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The unusually mild autumn temperatures will be a thing of the past very soon, as mid-November is set to bring overnight frost as the mercury finally plunges, the Met Office says. The days leading up to Halloween have seen thermometers reach a whopping 18C to 20C in the south east, which is drastically higher than it should be for the time of year. The temperatures which are typical of late summer, however, will finally lapse with a high pressure system moving in and bringing more settled conditions – which will in turn bring colder weather. That’s according to the leading forecaster’s long-range outlook for November.

The Met Office says from November 14 a more settled period will arrive in the UK – but despite this sounding like temperatures may be on the rise again, it actually demonstrates a colder period on the horizon.

The forecast for the UK from November 14 to 28 says: “A transition to more settled weather is expected during this period. While changeable conditions with spells of rain are still possible, especially at first, high pressure will become more likely in the vicinity of the UK, probably bringing drier and somewhat colder weather overall.

“With this increased likelihood of high pressure, overnight frost and fog are also expected to become more frequent.”

Stephen Dixon, a spokesman for the Met Office previously told Express.co.uk: “The potential for some cooler weather increases from mid-November, with the coldest places most likely to be in the northwest.

 

“There will be an ongoing chance later in the month that any showers could fall as snow for a time in the north, with the high ground most likely to see the highest of any accumulations.

“There isn’t a signal beyond what we’d normally expect for this time of year in terms of snowfall.” But before the country hits mid November, the Met Office has given some idea of how the country’s weather forecast will bring more unsettled conditions in the first fortnight.

Its prediction from November 4 to November 13 confirms a whole host of blustery, wet and bright spells to contend with before things settle down. 

It says: “The UK can expect to see a continuation of unsettled weather throughout this period, with widely wet and windy conditions. Thick cloud and rain reach western parts on Friday, then through the weekend, low pressure to the northwest contrasts with higher pressure to the south and brings a changeable westerly regime for the UK.

“This will see spells of rain or showers for many, heavy at times, especially in the west and northwest. Bright spells are possible at times, most likely in the southeast.

“These unsettled conditions will persist for the remainder of the period. It will be windy throughout with generally mild temperatures. Coastal and hilly areas may expect gales, with particularly strong winds to the lee of high ground.”

Temperatures look set to drop quite suddenly this week, according to WX Charts, which shows the south east retaining 12C to 13C during the middle of November 1. But come Wednesday, the picture will dramatically change.

Maps show from midday highs of 6C will be present in the south, decreasing to 5C in the Midlands and between 3C and 4C in southern Scotland. Temperatures will try and recover by Thursday by a couple of degrees before returning to a mild 11C in the south come Friday, November 4.

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Next week temperatures will remain mild for most, before November 14 where the Met Office says a high pressure system will plunge temperatures more in-line with what’s expected for the time of year.

It remains to be seen exactly what is in store for the UK weather-wise in the run up to Christmas, as December not only plays host to festivities but also a change of seasons from autumn to winter. 

An explainer on what to expect typically from December through to February from the Met Office adds: “Winter runs from December to February; these are the coldest months of the year with the shortest days.There can be quite a big split in winter weather in the UK; most winters see the storminess of autumn continue with lots of wet and windy weather, in fact the UK often sees some of its strongest winds of the year during winter.

“Other winters are much colder and calmer with lots of fog, frost and even snow. Some winters have a mix of the two, particularly depending on where you live. People living in the south of the UK or nearer the coasts will likely have less cold winters than those in the north of the UK and away from the coasts.”

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