TA: Bitcoin Still Struggling Near $38K, Here’s Why 100 SMA Is The Key

Bitcoin price made another attempt to clear the $38,000 resistance against the US Dollar, but it failed. BTC is correcting lower, but it might find bids near the 100 hourly SMA.

• Bitcoin is still facing a strong resistance near the $38,000 zone.
• The price is currently trading well above $36,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
• There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near $36,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair must stay above $36,000 and the 100 hourly SMA to remain in a positive zone.

Bitcoin Price Eyes Fresh Increase

Bitcoin started a decent increase above the $36,500 resistance zone. BTC even broke the $37,000 resistance level and settled well above the 100 hourly simple moving average.

The bulls made another important attempt to surpass the $38,000 barrier. However, they failed to gain strength and a new weekly high was formed near the $38,200 level. The price is now correcting lower and it is trading below the $37,800 level.

There was a break below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $35,928 swing low to $38,200 high. An immediate support on the downside is near the $37,000 level.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The 50% Fib retracement level of the recent wave from the $35,928 swing low to $38,200 high is also near the $37,000 zone to act as a support. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near $36,400 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the $37,600 level. The first major resistance is near the $37,850 level. The main barrier is still near the $38,000 zone. A clear break above the $38,000 zone is needed for a push towards the $40,000 level.

Downside Break in BTC?

If bitcoin fails to clear the $38,000 resistance, it could correct lower. An initial support on the downside is near the $37,000 level.

The first major support is near the $36,500 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If there is a downside break below the $36,500 support and then the trend line, the price could start a major decline in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now just below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $36,500, followed by $36,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $37,800, $38,000 and $40,000.

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